Tuesday, May 08, 2018

TRUMP UPDATE:

I think it's time for an update on how President Trump is doing so far:

So far, Trump has made 3,001 false or misleading claims (nearly 6.5 claims a day), per the Washington Post.

In his first 10 months, Trump told ~6x as many lies as Obama told during his ENTIRE presidency, per the New York Times.

In his first year, Trump signed the fewest bills into law since at least Eisenhower (Note: More than half had to do with modifying existing programs and naming something/statement), leading to the most executive orders since at least LBJ (Note: Obama issued an average of 35 EOs per year, the fewest in 120 years), per GovTrack and NPR.

As of now, Trump has kept 9, compromised 7, broken 7, stalled 33, and currently working on 46 of his campaign promises, per PolitiFact.

At least 22 of Trump's 67 deregulatory actions were started under Obama, while other actions had little impact, were part of actions typically taken by the federal government, or have not yet gone into effect, per Bloomberg.

According to Bloomberg, U.S. companies are valued less now than before Trump was elected, the cost to borrow for the U.S. has soared, and the dollar's share of global currency reserves has dropped by the most since 2002.

Avg. monthly job growth since Trump took office = +186,200

Avg. monthly job growth in previous years:

2016: +195,300
2015: +226,000
2014: +250,400
2013: +191,800

Economic Scorecard:
Stock Market: Up
GDP Growth: Up
Unemployment: Down
Jobs Gained: Down
Jobs Outsourced: Up
Trade Deficit: Up
Int'l Tourism: Down
Federal Deficit: Up
Move Rate: Down
Innovation Index: Down
Wage Growth: Down
Homelessness: Up
Uninsured Rate: Up
Gas Prices: Up
(Important: Not only were Obama's stock market gains higher than Trump's but also the vast majority of gains--92 months of upward trajectory--occurred under Obama, e.g. when the S&P 500 hit 127 all-time highs. Also: The Dow is not inflation-adjusted and is highly curated, measuring only the best performers in the economy.)

Trump and the Republican-controlled Congress have added nearly $1 trillion to the national debt in just 5.5 months, per the U.S. Treasury.

The GOP tax law is projected to increase the national debt by $1.9 trillion between 2018 and 2028, per the Congressional Budget Office.

Weekly employee earnings have grown $75 since the GOP tax law passed, well short of the $4,000 to $9,000 annual increases projected by President Trump and House Speaker Paul Ryan, per the latest Employment Situation report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

54% of the GOP tax cuts will go to people making MORE than $75k, 31% will go to corporations, and 16% will go to people making LESS than $75k, per the Joint Committee on Taxation.

Only 4.3% of workers will receive a one-time bonus or wage increase tied to the GOP tax cuts, while businesses received nine times more in cuts than what they passed on to their workers, per Americans for Tax Fairness.

More than half of Americans and U.S. voters say they have not noticed an increase in their paychecks since the GOP tax law passed, per CNBC's All America Economic Survey and Politico-Morning Consult polls.

More than half the benefit from the GOP tax law's pass-through deduction will go to people who make more than $1 million a year, per the Joint Committee on Taxation.

80% of the economic growth generated by the GOP tax cuts will eventually go abroad and benefit foreigners, per the Congressional Budget Office.

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio (R): "There's no evidence whatsoever that the money's been massively poured back into the American worker."

Retiring Tennessee Sen. Bob Corker (R): Tax cuts could be "one of the worst votes I've made."

Trump Administration Departures:

  • Secretary of Health and Human Services
  • White House Chief of Staff
  • Deputy White House Chief of Staff
  • Deputy White House Chief of Staff
  • Deputy White House Chief of Staff
  • Senior Advisor to the White House Chief of Staff
  • National Security Advisor
  • Deputy National Security Advisor
  • Another Deputy National Security Advisor
  • Yet Another Deputy National Security Advisor
  • Still Yet Another Deputy National Security Advisor
  • Intelligence Director at the National Security Council
  • Middle East Director at the National Security Council
  • Dir. of Strategic Planning at the National Security Council
  • Deputy Chief of Staff at the National Security Council
  • Chief White House Strategist
  • White House Strategist
  • Director of Public Liaison for the White House
  • Communications Director for the Office of Public Liaison
  • FBI Director
  • Deputy Director of the FBI
  • Chief of Staff of the FBI
  • Special Advisor to the President on Regulatory Reform
  • Director of the Office of Government Ethics
  • Counselor to the Treasury Secretary
  • Director of the National Security Agency
  • Deputy Director of the National Security Agency
  • Deputy Director of the Domestic Policy Counsel
  • Vice President's Chief of Staff
  • Vice President's Wife's Chief of Staff
  • Vice President's Press Secretary
  • Vice President's Chief Counsel
  • Vice President's Chief Policy Advisor
  • Head of the Centers for Disease Control
  • White House Staff Secretary
  • White House Speechwriter
  • Acting Administrator of Federal Railroad Administration
  • Associate Attorney General
  • Press Secretary
  • Assistant Press Secretary
  • White House Director of Rapid Response
  • Communications Director
  • Another Communications Director
  • Yet Another Communications Director
  • Deputy Communications Director
  • Assistant Communications Director
  • Deputy Secretary of Homeland Secretary
  • Special Representative for North Korea Policy
  • Asst. to the Pres. in the Office of American Innovation
  • Senior Advisor to the Defense Secretary
  • U.S. Ambassador to Mexico
  • Deputy Director of the National Economic Council
  • White House Chief Economic Advisor
  • Secretary of State
  • Under Secy. of State, Public Diplomacy & Public Affairs
  • NASA Acting Administrator
  • Head of U.S. Forest Service
  • Personal Assistant to President Trump
  • Another National Security Advisor
  • Secretary of Veterans Affairs
  • White House Homeland Security Advisor
  • National Security Council Spokesman
  • White House Cybersecurity Advisor
  • Chief of Staff to the National Security Council


The Trump Administration has seen the highest rate of turnover among White House staff in decades if not ever, per the Brookings Institution and Wall Street Journal.

Only three of the 10 highest-ranking jobs are filled at the State Department, and two of those jobs are being performed by people in "acting" roles, per Bloomberg.

Rex Tillerson is one of the shortest-serving secretaries of state in modern history. (Memorable quote: Trump is "a f***ing moron").

“I had a better working relationship, as far as information back and forth, with [President Obama’s Defense Secretary] Ash Carter than I do with an old friend of 20 years [President Trump's Defense Secretary James Mattis]."
- Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.)

Global confidence in Trump (Pew):
Sweden: 10% (-83)
Netherlands: 17% (-75)
Germany: 11% (-75)
South Korea: 17% (-71)
France: 14% (-70)
Spain: 7% (-68)
Canada: 22% (-61)
UK: 22% (-57)
Australia: 29% (-55)
Japan: 24% (-54)
Senegal: 26% (-51)
Brazil: 14% (-49)
Chile: 12% (-48)
Mexico: 5% (-44)
Italy: 25% (-43)
Indonesia: 23% (-41)
Colombia: 15% (-41)
Peru: 17% (-36)
Poland: 23% (-35)
South Africa: 39% (-34)
Turkey: 11% (-34)
Ghana: 49% (-33)
Kenya: 51% (-32)
Hungary: 29% (-29)
Tanzania: 51% (-27)
Argentina: 13% (-27)
Philippines: 69% (-25)
Greece: 19% (-22)
Lebanon: 15% (-21)
India: 40% (-18)
Vietnam: 58% (-13)
Tunisia: 18% (-9)
Venezuela: 20% (-6)
Nigeria: 58% (-5)
Jordan: 9% (-5)
Israel: 56% (+7)
Russia: 53% (+42)
Worldwide: 22% (-42)
(64% expressed confidence in Obama to direct America's role in the world.)

Obama better than Trump "as far as American leadership is concerned."
- Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.)

U.S. leadership sank to its lowest point in nearly two decades in 2017, shattering the previous record low of 34% in the last year of George W. Bush's second term, and more than tripling the number of countries where the majorities disapprove of U.S. leadership, per Gallup.

The U.S. has dropped to 8th place on the "Best Countries" list, per U.S. News and World Report.

The United States' political rights rating declined from 1 to 2, per Freedom House.

The United States' press freedom rating declined from 41 to 45, per Reporters Without Borders.

"I think he's an empty vessel when it comes to things like the Constitution and rule of law."
- EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt

Special Counsel:

  • Guilty Pleas: 5 individuals
  • Indictments: 19 + 3 entities
  • Counts: 101
  • Convictions: 4
  • Sentences: 1
  • (Only Phase 3 of 10; Obama: Zero)


"Sweetheart, this is Watergate. Goodbye!"
- Dr. Harold Bornstein, Trump's physician

There are at least 400 individuals involved in some way in the Trump-Russia Affair. It extends across 5 continents and more than 20 years. It not only touches 50+ disciplines but will have profound effects on other nations, America's future and things we can't contemplate yet.

"I believe that Donald Trump in the White House would be more abusive to the Constitution than Barack Obama."
- EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt

He said he would drain the swamp, but then filled it:

  • -giving exclusive access during inauguration weekend to him, his family, and top administration officials to numerous corporate powerhouses and individual business titans, including fossil fuel, financial and food and beverage interests with lucrative business before the federal government;
  • -forming the wealthiest administration in U.S. history;
  • -selecting at least five Goldman Sachs veterans to take senior roles in his administration, more than any president in U.S. history;
  • -bringing in at least 193 corporate lobbyists, CEOs, and executives of big giant corporations and industry consultants;
  • -failing to divest himself from his financial empire, opening the door to years of ethics conflicts;
  • -granting himself the power to withdraw money from his businesses without publicly disclosing it;
  • -breaking his promise to impose a five-year ban on White House and congressional officials becoming lobbyists after they leave government service, instead weakening some of the language from similar bans under Obama and George W. Bush and reducing the level of transparency;
  • -refusing to release his visitor logs to the public, keeping them secret for five years after the end of Trump's presidency;
  • -issuing waivers that let officials get around potential ethics rules violations, making it impossible to determine the extent and details of some White House staffers' conflicts of interest;
  • -using money donated to the Republican National Committee to pay his personal lawyers;
  • -permitting Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials to use millions of dollars in taxpayer-funded private jets and military planes for government business and personal pleasure;
  • -defending embattled EPA chief Scott Pruitt despite a stunning number of ethics scandals, which includes spending millions of taxpayer dollars on a full-time, 20-person security detail, renting a condo from a powerful lobbyist for just $50 a night, opting for extra-expensive travel options, bypassing the White House to get raises for his closest aides, demoting officials who raised concerns about his spending and management, and asking his security team to turn on the lights and sirens in his motorcade to get to Washington, D.C., restaurant faster;
  • -earning a fortune from the Republican National Committee, GOP congressional campaign committees, special interest groups and dozens of foreign governments;
  • -and costing the U.S. taxpayer tens of millions of dollars to travel, vacation, and golf, surpassing all previous presidents.


"One day someone will do an accounting of the *total* amount we Americans paid Donald Trump and his fat-cat cronies to continue living (and on the public dine) in the manner to which they had become accustomed, and it will be a *nine-figure* sum. I know it seems unfathomable--but look at the *total* cost so far of Trump's trips to Mar-a-Lago, Melania staying in NYC for many months, all the unnecessary private travel by the Cabinet, their endless unwarranted luxuries over a period of years, and it'll reach $100 million."
- Seth Abramson

2018 Presidents and Executive Politics Presidential Greatness Survey: Trump placed last for overall greatness, with Republicans and conservatives ranking him the fifth-worst president.

“The destruction of the Republican Party will be part of Trump's political legacy, and the least damning."
- Former Rep. Joe Scarborough (R-FL)

Source
https://www.facebook.com/OccupyDemocrats/posts/2069682623124781

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